New Delhi: The Axis My India Exit Poll on Wednesday predicted that the NDA would be ahead of the Mahagathbandhan in Bihar but the RJD would emerge as the single-largest party when results for the Assembly polls are announced on Friday.
Axis My India’s projections come a day after all major exit polls predicted a return of the NDA government in Bihar with a big victory over the Mahagathbandhan.
All exit polls unanimously forecast a poor electoral debut for Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj.
The majority mark in the 243-member Bihar Assembly is 122. The lower end of Axis My India’s prediction for the NDA puts it at one below that. On the other end, the upper end of 118 for the Mahagathbandhan, which has the RJD and Congress as the main constituents, will put it within touching distance of the majority.
The survey projects the NDA’s overall vote share at 43 per cent, slightly ahead of the MGB’s 41 per cent. Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) is estimated to draw 4 per cent, and other parties together account for 12 per cent of the total votes. Individually, RJD emerged as the single largest party with a vote share of 24 per cent. BJP and JD(U) get 18 per cent vote share each.
On Tuesday, every exit poll had given the NDA a clear majority, even on the lower end, with Vote Vibe predicting the lowest figure of 125. Matrize had predicted a lower end of 147 for the NDA and an upper end of 167, which would be higher than the two-thirds majority mark. Now, it will be known on November 14 who will be in Bihar.
