Endgame for Naxalism

Columnist-M.S.Shanker

When Amit Shah confidently declared that Left-Wing Extremism would be wiped out from India by March 31, it was not merely political rhetoric. It was the culmination of a decade-long, carefully calibrated strategy pursued by the government led by Narendra Modi—a strategy combining security operations, development initiatives, financial disruption of extremist networks, and ideological countermeasures against what the government calls the “Urban Naxal” ecosystem. For decades, Naxalism was considered India’s gravest internal security challenge. At its peak around 2010–2013, the so-called “Red Corridor” stretched across large swathes of central and eastern India—from Nepal’s border down to Andhra Pradesh. In 2013, as many as 126 districts across multiple states reported Naxal-related violence. Today, that number has shrunk dramatically to around eight districts, a striking indicator of how decisively the insurgency has been rolled back.  The statistics tell an even more compelling story. According to data presented by the Union Ministry of Home Affairs in Parliament, violent incidents related to Left-Wing Extremism have dropped by nearly 80 percent—from 1,936 incidents in 2010 to just 234 in 2025. Even more significant is the decline in fatalities: deaths of civilians and security personnel have fallen by about 90 percent, from over 1,000 in 2010 to roughly 100 last year.  This transformation did not happen overnight. It is the result of the National Policy and Action Plan against Left-Wing Extremism, implemented since 2015, which adopted a “security plus development” doctrine. The government strengthened intelligence-driven operations while simultaneously expanding roads, telecommunications, banking services, schools, and healthcare in tribal areas that had long been neglected. Security forces also intensified their presence in insurgency zones. Since 2019 alone, more than 320 new security camps and dozens of helipads have been established, enabling rapid deployment and logistical support in dense forest regions that once served as Maoist strongholds. The number of fortified police stations increased from 66 in 2014 to more than 620, thereby dramatically improving the state’s operational capacity in remote districts.

The geographical contraction of Naxalism is perhaps the most telling sign of its decline. Today, the remaining “most affected” districts are concentrated primarily in Chhattisgarh—Bijapur, Sukma, and Narayanpur—along with a few pockets such as West Singhbhum in Jharkhand and Kandhamal in Odisha.  Several other districts once notorious for Maoist violence—such as Gadchiroli in Maharashtra, Balaghat in Madhya Pradesh, and Bhadradri-Kothagudem in Telangana—have seen dramatic improvement due to sustained operations and development schemes.  The government’s strategy has also focused on dismantling the Maoists’ organizational and financial infrastructure. Intelligence-led operations have eliminated several top leaders of the CPI (Maoist) and crippled their command structure. Hundreds of cadres have been neutralised, while thousands more have surrendered and joined the mainstream. In 2025 alone, over 2,300 Naxals surrendered, 364 were killed, and more than 1,000 were arrested in coordinated operations by central forces and state police.  Equally important has been the crackdown on the ideological ecosystem that allegedly sustained the insurgency from urban centers—activists, front organizations, and legal networks accused by the government of providing intellectual and legal cover to Maoist activities. By targeting both the gun-wielding insurgents in the forests and the networks supporting them in cities, the government has attempted to close the operational and ideological space available to extremism. Critics may argue that insurgencies rarely vanish overnight, and vigilance will always be necessary. But the trajectory is undeniable. A movement that once terrorized hundreds of districts and claimed thousands of lives has been pushed into a few shrinking pockets. India’s security forces, state police units, and local administrations deserve enormous credit for this transformation. Equally significant is the growing realization that development—not merely force—is the most potent antidote to extremism. This shift appears to be yielding results. According to recent media reports, Muppala Lakshman Rao, the long-time leader of the Naxal movement who is believed to be hiding somewhere in Nepal, has reportedly sent feelers through A. Revanth Reddy expressed a willingness to surrender if provided safe passage. Reports further suggest that the matter was allegedly discussed by the Telangana Chief Minister with the Union Home Minister Amit Shah during a recent interaction. If these reports are even partially accurate, they signal a remarkable shift in the psychological landscape of the insurgency. When a movement’s most prominent leaders begin contemplating surrender, it often indicates that the ideological and operational space for armed rebellion is rapidly shrinking. If the present momentum continues, India may indeed be approaching the end of an insurgency that haunted its internal security landscape for more than half a century. And when that day finally arrives, the declaration by Amit Shah may well be remembered not as a bold prediction—but as a statement of historical inevitability.

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