Defeat Stares Mamata

Columnist-M.S.Shanker

The writing is no longer on the wall—it is etched into the electoral rolls. With the Election Commission of India identifying nearly 91 lakh (9.1 million) questionable or illegal entries during the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) in West Bengal under judicial scrutiny, the political ground beneath Mamata Banerjee has begun to crack—perhaps irreversibly. This is not merely an administrative correction. It is a political earthquake. For years, allegations of systematic voter list manipulation, illegal infiltration, and demographic engineering were dismissed as political rhetoric. Yet today, under the watchful eye of the judiciary and the firm hand of constitutional institutions, the scale of the problem stands exposed. The implications are staggering. In a state where electoral victories in dozens of constituencies have historically been decided by margins of less than 5,000 votes, the removal of such a massive chunk of dubious entries could decisively tilt the balance in over 90–100 assembly seats. But beyond numbers lies a far more disturbing reality—the breakdown of law, order, and constitutional morality. The recent incidents in violence-prone districts like Murshidabad and Malda are not aberrations; they are symptoms of a deeper rot. That eight judicial officers—including two women—were held hostage for hours by a mob, and that an escort vehicle was attacked while a woman officer pleaded for her life, should shake the conscience of the nation. That it took directions from the Calcutta High Court to deploy central forces and activate the National Investigation Agency only underscores the gravity of the collapse. And yet, instead of remorse or restraint, Mamata Banerjee chose provocation—openly calling upon those whose names were deleted to “take revenge.” Revenge against whom? Against the Constitution? Against the courts? Against the very idea of free and fair elections? This is not leadership. This is abdication. It must be stated without hesitation: your e-paper has not once, but repeatedly warned of this impending crisis. Through these very columns, the steady drift of West Bengal’s socio-political fabric was highlighted—often inconveniently, often against the grain of popular narratives. Today, those warnings stand vindicated.

Consider the demographic shifts. According to Census data, the Muslim population in West Bengal rose from 25.2% in 2001 to over 27% in 2011, with projections and ground reports suggesting even higher concentrations today in border districts. In districts like Murshidabad (over 66% Muslim population) and Malda (over 51%), the transformation is already stark. Parts of North Dinajpur and South 24 Parganas too have witnessed significant changes. These are not mere statistics—they are indicators of a larger, politically exploited phenomenon. Successive reports and intelligence inputs have pointed to illegal immigration from Bangladesh, particularly in these border belts. Instead of addressing the issue, the state machinery under Mamata Banerjee stands accused of turning a blind eye—or worse, facilitating the normalization of such entries into the voter base. The political dividends were immediate. The Trinamool Congress consolidated a formidable vote bank, powering Mamata Banerjee to consecutive electoral victories. But what is gained through distortion cannot endure under scrutiny. Now, with constitutional mechanisms kicking in—guided by the judiciary and executed by the Election Commission—the façade is collapsing. The “long rope” allegedly given by the Centre, led by Narendra Modi, seems to have run its course. The correction, when it comes, is often swift and unforgiving. West Bengal today stands at a crossroads. One path leads to restoration—of democratic integrity, rule of law, and institutional trust. The other descends further into chaos, where political survival is pursued through intimidation, demographic manipulation, and open defiance of constitutional norms. Mamata Banerjee, once seen as a crusader against excesses, now finds herself accused of enabling them. The irony is complete. The reckoning, perhaps, inevitable. With 91 lakh votes under the scanner, this is no longer just about an election. It is about the very soul of West Bengal’s democracy. And defeat, it seems, is no longer a distant possibility—it is staring her in the face.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *