Columnist-BG-Srinivas

The Dollar Milkshake Theory

How One Idea Rewired the Global Economy Brent Johnson’s provocative framework predicted dollar dominance at a time when the consensus was pointing the other way  and markets have been grappling with the consequences ever since. When Brent Johnson, a portfolio manager at Santiago Capital, first sketched out what he called the Dollar Milkshake Theory in…

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Columnist-BG-Srinivas

The Hidden Perils of Sequence of Returns Risk

In the fast-evolving landscape of Indian personal finance, a popular strategy promoted across social media promises seemingly effortless wealth creation: borrow against residential property at 8-10% interest, deploy the proceeds into equity mutual funds expecting 12-15% long-term returns, and use Systematic Withdrawal Plans (SWPs) to service the loan while the house appreciates independently. On Excel…

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Columnist-BG-Srinivas

Capital Recycling 2.0: India’s Plan to Monetise ₹16.72 Lakh Crore Without Ballooning Debt

The Indian government has launched National Monetisation Pipeline 2.0 (NMP 2.0), a scaled-up blueprint for unlocking value from public infrastructure assets to fund ambitious development goals without escalating debt. Unveiled by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on February 23, 2026, and prepared by NITI Aayog, NMP 2.0 targets an aggregate monetisation potential of ₹16.72 lakh crore over FY26–FY30 (2025-26…

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Columnist-BG-Srinivas

Margin Wars and the Silver Squeeze

The silver market remains in a critical phase of the ongoing squeeze, characterized by a sharp divergence between paper and physical dynamics. As of early February 2026, spot silver trades around $76–$78 per ounce (following a volatile pullback from January’s peak near $120–$121), reflecting recent leveraged unwinds but not a collapse in underlying fundamentals. This period has been marked by aggressive interventions from…

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Columnist-BG-Srinivas

From Ghost GDP to Abundance GDP: AI’s True Gift to 1.4b Indians

The Nifty IT index just shed over ₹4 lakh crore in a single week because the narrative that “AI will devour white-collar jobs” has become consensus. Everyone from Dalal Street analysts to coffee-shop pundits is convinced: Artificial Intelligence is not a tool — it is a wrecking ball aimed straight at India’s $280-billion IT-BPM industry….

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Columnist-BG-Srinivas

Mastering Glide Path Strategies: The Smart Way to De-Risk Your Goal-Based Portfolio Over Time

Glide path strategies form the backbone of disciplined, goal-based investing. They provide a structured roadmap for shifting your portfolio’s asset allocation—typically between equities (higher risk, higher growth) and debt/fixed income (lower risk, capital preservation)—as your financial goal approaches. Just as an airplane follows a controlled descent for a smooth landing, a glide path ensures your…

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Columnist-BG-Srinivas

The CPI Overhaul Explained: How It Lifts Nominal GDP and Powers Equity Markets

In recent years, India has navigated a subtle macroeconomic challenge: persistently low inflation that has tempered nominal GDP growth. Nominal GDP, the sum of real economic expansion and inflation, serves as a critical barometer for fiscal health, tax revenues, and corporate earnings. When inflation is understated, nominal GDP lags, straining government budgets and business profitability….

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