Who will get power in Haryana this time? Temperatures are high regarding the assembly elections. BJP emphasizes better economic development, employment opportunities, and security. Apart from this, the BJP is also trying to take all sections along keeping in mind the caste equations. Also, senior BJP leaders can clarify the party’s position on farmers’ issues during the election campaign, so that the discontent caused by the movement can be reduced. BJP got the highest number of votes in 46 out of 90 assembly seats in Haryana. However, anti-incumbency, farmers’ movement, and breaking of alliance with JJP are big challenges for BJP. The unity of opposition parties and the effect of caste equations can also affect the election results. Now it remains to be seen whether the BJP will be able to return to power in Haryana.
BJP, which has been ruling the state for the last 10 years, is moving ahead to form a full majority government for the third time. This time the battle for power in the Haryana assembly elections has become very interesting. Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which has been in power for the last 10 years, get power this time too? Prime Minister Narendra Modi is the main face of BJP’s election campaign. He has to woo the voters of the state. Modi raises the issues of corruption, development work, and national security loudly in his election campaigns. Will the party make corruption and development an issue through the Prime Minister in Haryana as per the same strategy? BJP leaders are also constantly raising anti-corruption issues in their election campaign.
The party is counting on Modi’s popularity. That is why the party is contesting in the state without any CM face. BJP emphasizes better economic development, employment opportunities, and security. Apart from this, the BJP is also trying to take all sections along keeping in mind the caste equations. Also, senior BJP leaders can clarify the party’s position on farmers’ issues during the election campaign, so that the discontent caused by the movement can be reduced.
The confrontation between the government and the farmers damaged the image of the BJP. This can have a direct impact on the party’s vote bank in rural areas, as agriculture is the backbone of the state’s economy. In the elections, the BJP will have to make an effective strategy to deal with this discontent so that it can win back the trust of the farmer community.
Along with this, the protest of the players can have a profound impact on the election campaign of the BJP, especially in a state like Haryana, where sports and players play an important role in politics. The protests led by women wrestlers, which were centered on allegations of sexual harassment and demand for justice, have given a blow to the image of BJP in the state. BJP will have to take concrete steps with sensitivity to deal with the damage caused by these protests so that it can make its election campaign successful without losing the support of the sports world.
Opposition parties are trying to form alliances against the BJP in their way. If the effect of the unity of these opposition parties is seen on the ground, then the road to electoral victory for BJP may become more difficult. The opposition is especially focusing on one community vote bank and has prepared a strategy to balance the caste equations within the state. Caste equations are of great importance in Haryana politics.
A large part of a community, that plays a major role in state politics, is angry with the BJP. The party has to depend more on other voters. At the same time, forming alliances with other communities is also a big challenge for the party. This time BJP has a big responsibility to strike a caste balance and bring all sections together. BJP will have to attract other rural votes on its own, which will not be easy. Their separation can create another difficulty for the BJP. After 10 years of power, there is a big danger of an anti-incumbency wave against the BJP. Any party has to face an anti-incumbency wave while in power and the BJP is not untouched by it. Despite development work, issues like unemployment, inflation, and allegations of corruption are being raised by opposition parties, which can increase the dissatisfaction of voters.
Notably, in the Lok Sabha elections, BJP got only 5 out of 10 seats in Haryana, which is a warning sign for the party. So close to the elections, Manohar Lal Khattar was replaced by a new face Nayab Singh Saini. But will this decision prove helpful in reducing the discontent towards power within the party and also among the public, because the decision to change the Chief Minister so close to the elections can affect the election results of the party? In the assembly elections, local issues and caste equations have a greater impact, and this is why the BJP has to work harder in the state this time. In the 2014 assembly elections in Haryana, BJP won a big victory, when it won 47 seats and formed the government with a clear majority.
The party’s performance in the 2019 assembly elections was not as impressive, and it got only 40 seats, which was less than the majority. After this, the government was formed by allying with JJP. This time it will be interesting to see how the party performs in the assembly elections. In Haryana, BJP’s entire focus is on the campaign of Prime Minister Modi, and the party hopes that under his leadership, the party will be able to return to power here for the third consecutive time. In its election campaign, the party will try to attract voters by balancing caste equations, making Congress’s corruption an issue, and citing development works.
In the Haryana assembly elections, BJP has emphasized on leadership of all communities, while the opposition has openly used the special caste card. BJP has tried to give tickets to different castes. In Haryana, with ten years of power, the BJP has done the math of social equations this time to counter the anti-incumbency atmosphere in the assembly elections, but there is confusion about which way its chemistry will turn.
According to the voting data of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, it has been estimated that the situation of a hung house can also be formed in the state. But, if the opposition parties come together, then they can gain an edge. On the other hand, if we talk at the level of assembly constituency, then there are many assembly seats in every Lok Sabha. BJP got the most votes in 46 out of 90 assembly seats in Haryana. However, anti-incumbency, farmers’ movement, and breaking of alliance with JJP are big challenges for BJP. The impact of the unity of opposition parties and caste equations can also affect the election results. Now it remains to be seen whether the BJP will be able to return to power in Haryana or not.
