Trump’s Chaos Doctrine

No one plays political roulette quite like Donald Trump. His recent about-face on Hamas—from casual indifference to full-throated condemnation—illustrates the former U.S. president’s trademark blend of instinct, opportunism, and improvisation. But behind this latest flip-flop lies something larger than Trump’s ego: a world struggling to define moral consistency in an age where alliances shift faster than headlines. At first, Trump downplayed the Hamas massacres as a “local crackdown,” a dismissive shrug that fit neatly into his America-First fatigue toward distant wars. Then, as if a switch flipped after a rumored long call with Vladimir Putin, Trump’s tone hardened. Suddenly, the same assault became a “massacre of innocents.” The shift wasn’t about new facts—it was about new calculations. Trump, the self-proclaimed dealmaker who once promised to “end endless wars,” now finds himself in a geopolitical trap of his own making. Between Ukraine’s grinding conflict and the Gaza inferno, he is juggling two theatres where he has little real leverage. Zelensky’s visit to Washington—once a moment for renewed U.S. resolve—was overshadowed by whispers of Trump’s quiet diplomacy with Moscow. The former president’s talk of “peace through strength” increasingly sounds like a man trying to reclaim relevance in a world he no longer controls. What makes Trump’s pivot on Hamas striking is not its content but its timing. It coincides with the West’s growing confusion about its own role. The American narrative—once moral and confident—has fractured into contradictions: isolationism wrapped in intervention, human-rights rhetoric laced with transactional realism. Trump’s words merely echo the Western mood—loud, emotional, and deeply unsure. Meanwhile, the Middle East remains a cauldron. Hamas still rules Gaza with an iron grip; Israel still bombards; and civilians continue to die between ideology and vengeance. Across the region, the aftershocks ripple outward. In Pakistan, the Taliban’s flirtation with India has set alarm bells ringing in Islamabad. Once certain of the group’s loyalty, Pakistan now watches uneasily as Kabul explores quiet outreach to New Delhi—a shift that could redraw South Asia’s fragile fault lines.

Even the financial world reflects the same nervous energy. Central banks are quietly hoarding gold again, led by India’s Reserve Bank, which has added nearly nineteen billion dollars’ worth this fiscal year alone. The symbolism is unmistakable: faith in the U.S. dollar—and by extension, in American leadership—is waning. When paper promises falter, nations turn to metal. Analysts expect the trend to continue through 2026, a hedge against both Washington’s volatility and Wall Street’s fragility. From Caracas to Dhaka, the tremors of political instability echo the same distrust. In Venezuela, Trump’s circle still pushes hardline sanctions under the banner of anti-corruption—though proof remains thin. In Bangladesh, an interim regime’s self-styled “constitution” has sidelined democratic voices, drawing quiet Western concern but little tangible response. Even Big Tech, that self-anointed guardian of free expression, faces its own crisis of legitimacy—from Facebook’s role in the Rohingya genocide to OpenAI’s recent policy confusion over adult content. The common thread is cynicism disguised as pragmatism. Governments and corporations alike now treat ethics as optional and conviction as negotiable. Trump, far from an outlier, has become the perfect mirror of this age: instinctively transactional, morally fluid, and theatrically certain of his own genius. The global economy, too, teeters on borrowed confidence. The IMF warns of a “financial doom loop” as total global debt edges toward 100 per cent of GDP by 2029—a staggering figure swollen by military spending, pandemic subsidies, and shrinking tax bases. Nations, from Ukraine to Egypt, queue up at the IMF’s door, bartering sovereignty for solvency. And yet, amid this churn, the world still seeks its flicker of light. India’s Diwali arrives as an unlikely metaphor—celebrating not just the triumph of light over darkness, but clarity over confusion. In a time when even superpowers stumble in moral twilight, the festival’s simple radiance feels almost political: a reminder that stability is born of conviction, not convenience. Trump’s shifting stance on Hamas, then, is more symptom than scandal. It reveals a world where certainty itself has become performative, where leaders chase applause over principle. His words—alternating between outrage and indifference—may satisfy both his hawks and moderates, but they leave the world guessing which Trump would show up if he returned to power. And that, perhaps, is the tragedy of our times: when chaos becomes strategy, and conviction a luxury few leaders can afford.