Washington, D.C.: Former President Donald Trump is closing the gap in Pennsylvania, while Vice President Kamala Harris is making gains in North Carolina and Georgia, according to recent polling from The New York Times. The two candidates are locked in a fierce contest across several battleground states, with the race too close to call in key regions of the Sun Belt and Rust Belt.
As polls reveal a photo finish, Harris now holds a narrow lead in Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin, while Trump maintains his advantage in Arizona. Meanwhile, the candidates are deadlocked in critical states like Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. With each state’s results falling within the margin of error, neither Harris nor Trump has secured a clear path to victory, underscoring the high level of uncertainty.
If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?
In Pennsylvania, Trump has nearly erased the four-point lead Harris held in previous polls. This state remains pivotal for both campaigns, which view it as a potential tipping point for the election. In contrast, Harris shows increased strength among voters in North Carolina and Georgia, both traditionally conservative states where she has recently gained ground.
More than 70 million Americans have already cast their ballots, with roughly 40 percent of voters in the seven battleground states saying they have already voted. Among these early voters, Harris holds an eight-point lead, but Trump retains an edge with those who are still likely to vote but haven’t done so yet.
Late-deciding voters may also play a crucial role. The latest data show Harris winning this group by 55 percent to Trump’s 44 percent, a factor that could prove decisive in such a close race. The number of undecided or persuadable voters has also shrunk to 11 percent, down from 16 percent a month ago.
The tight race reflects the closest polling environment in decades, with multiple pathways available for both candidates to reach the 270 Electoral College votes required for victory. Even a small polling error could shift the outcome significantly, raising the stakes as both campaigns enter the final stretch.
